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Market Watch: European Quantitative Easing

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All eyes were focused on Europe early Thursday, as President of The European Central Bank Mario Draghi announced he would add 1.2 trillion dollars to the over 66 billion dollar quantitative easing program that was already in place.  Draghi cited turmoil in China and slow global growth as his reasoning for the added stimulus.

Quantitative easing programs print extra currency in order to stimulate the economy, As a result, the Euro dropped 1 percent but The Stoxx 50 Index, which is comprised of Europe’s leading companies, rose 2.2%.

This announcement was made in the morning and caused positive movements on our markets as well.  By 11 AM all three major market indexes were up over 1% and oil was up over 48 dollars a barrel.  As the day wore on, fear of a disappointing Federal Jobs Report, scheduled to drop on Friday, caused all three indexes to relinquish that 1% gain and caused oil prices to drop below 47 dollars a barrel.

Keep an eye out for this Jobs Report from The Federal Reserve, as it is seen as a key piece of data they will use to make a decision on interest rates later this month.

Here are the final numbers from Thursday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 16,374.76 (+23.38)

NASDAQ: 4,733.50 (-16.48)

S&P 500: 1,951.13 (+2.27)

Market Watch: Beige Book Released

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The Federal Reserve released its “Beige Book” on Wednesday, which reports on our nation’s current economic conditions.  Their report was largely positive, causing a recovery among all three major U.S. market indexes.

The key findings in The Fed’s report were that businesses are offering higher wages to their employees, the housing market has improved, and eleven of The Fed’s twelve districts reported moderate or modest growth.  This report, which is conducted eight times annually, covers July through mid-August, and does not include the most recent market turmoil.

The Beige Book did not provide all good news however.  China’s struggles, dropping oil prices, and issues in the American manufacturing industry were listed as obstacles facing our economy.   Specifically three industries reported slowdowns due to China: wool products in San Francisco, chemicals in Boston, and tech goods in Dallas.

China saw a steady trading day but still ended down after seeing significant drops on Tuesday.  The Nikkei lost .39% and The Shanghai Composite lost .2%.  Chinese markets will be closed through the weekend for their World War II Victory Day Parade.

Here are the final numbers from Wednesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 16,351.38 (+293.03)

NASDAQ: 4,749.98 (+113.874)

S&P 500: 1,948.86 (+35.01)

Market Watch: September Off To A Bad Start

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After a horrendous August, September (Wall Street’s worst month historically) comes in like a bear. U.S. stocks plummeted Tuesday as fears about China and oil prices caused significant drops across all three major U.S. indexes yesterday. Dropping 3%, it marked the third largest daily decline for 2015.

Two separate reports surfaced yesterday showing that China’s factory activity level for August was at a three year low.  As a result, three major Asian indexes opened down as well. The Shanghai index was down 1.2%, Australia’s ASX All Ordinaries was down 2%, and Tokyo’s Nikkei was down 3.8%.

The International Monetary Fund in Washington D.C. warned investors that this WILL have an effect on the global economy, and the effect was certainly felt at home.  Major tech companies who depend on China’s manufacturing such as Apple, Qualcomm, and Avago, took major hits yesterday.

After a 10% jump on Monday, oil prices dropped 7% in response to the potential troubles in China.  Oil companies in America are showing their concern, as ConocoPhillips announced yesterday it would cut 1,800 jobs due to the “dramatic downturn” in the energy sector.  This is especially concerning with the latest U.S. employment data expected on Friday.

Here are the final numbers from Tuesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 16,058.35 (-470)

NASDAQ: 4,636.11 (-140)

S&P 500: 1,913.85 (-58.33)

Market Watch: Bounce in Oil Prices Furthers Stock Rally

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U.S. stocks were higher again Thursday, as oil prices staged a rally from near 7-year lows earlier this week.

Oil prices jumped more than 10% to $42.52 per barrel—up from the week’s low point of $38.95 per barrel.

Investors were encouraged by the first positive day in some time on the Shanghai Index. China’s leading index was up 5.4% Thursday, bringing volume back over 3,000 after several days of precipitous drops.

The biggest domestic news was an upward revision of second-quarter GDP, from 3.2% to 3.7%. On its own, this news was seen as encouraging—but it remains to be seen how this will impact interest rate hikes, not to mention the effect that global turmoil will have on GDP for the 3rd quarter.

Here are the final numbers from Thursday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 16,654.77 (+369.26)

NASDAQ: 4,812.71 (+115.17)

S&P 500: 1,987.66 (+47.15)

Market Watch: Wall Street Sustains Rally

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U.S. stocks were higher on Wednesday, as the market attempted to recover from another damaging setback yesterday.

For most of Tuesday, the market appeared poised to recover a large amount of Monday’s losses, only to make a 180-degree turn in late trading and finish the day down about 1% across the board.

Today’s rally was attributed to a solid durable goods report, the possibility of further economic stimulus in China, and the decreasing likelihood of a September interest rate hike.

The market has now seen its best and worst days in four years in the space of this week. Investors see nothing but more volatility on the horizon.

Here are the final numbers from Wednesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 16,285.51 (+619.07)

NASDAQ: 4,697.54 (+191.05) 

S&P 500: 1,940.52 (+72.91)

Market Watch: Stock Rally Fails, Major Indices Drop More Than 1% For Day

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U.S. stocks were down on Tuesday, as the major indices attempted to move out of correction territory after another disastrous day Monday.

The Dow just wrapped up its worst three-day stretch in history, losing a total of 1,477 points since Thursday—approximately 9% of the Index’s total value. While Tuesday was being touted as a major rally, in reality the gains faded throughout the day, as the market woes continued.

On the other hand, the news was no better in China as the Shanghai Index fell another 7.5% overnight to reach its lowest point of 2015. Global economists were beginning to question the ability of the Chinese government to stop this tailspin.

Economic data continues to take a back seat, but new home sales figures for July came in at the expected level this morning. Oil struggled to re-attain the $40 per barrel mark many economists have cited as a crucial support point.

The Dow rallied to recover as much as 425 points, but saw those gains disappear by late-afternoon. By the clsoe of business, it was clear the correction had further to go.

Here are the final numbers from Tuesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,666.44 (-204.91)

NASDAQ: 4,506.49 (-19.76)

S&P 500: 1,867.61 (-25.60)

Market Watch: Wall Street Braces For Disaster

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U.S. stocks were down dramatically Monday, as investors braced for an historically bad day on Wall Street.

The Dow was down over 850 points within minutes of the opening bell. NASDAQ was down 370, with the S&P 500 down close to triple digits. All three major indices are sharply into correction territory at this point, as the worst fears of market analysts are coming true across the globe.

By mid-day, the markets were beginning to stabilize and recovered a portion of their earlier losses.

The Shanghai Index dropped 8.5% Monday—an all-time record—as fears of slowed growth in China swept through the country’s own markets and threatened to spread to other markets.

This week’s major events include consumer confidence numbers and Federal Reserve statements—but for now, it all takes a back seat to the sharp drops of market indices around the world.

Here are the final numbers from Wall Street on Monday:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 15,871.35 (-588.40)

NASDAQ: 4,526.25 (-179.79)

S&P 500: 1,893.21 (-77.68)

Market Recap For Week of 8/17—8/21

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When we look back on 2015, this could be the week that marked the turning point; the end of the bull market. All three major indices were annihilated to the tune of 5%-7% losses. The Dow and S&P 500 are now decisively negative for the year after the worst week on Wall Street since 2011!

***DOW DOWN 1,017 POINTS FOR THE WEEK

Monday U.S markets shed almost 1% in early trading. Fears over oil prices drove the early fear, as oil moved below $42 a barrel. Disappointing manufacturing data from the state of New York also played a role in the market’s early tumble. As oil prices stabilized, so did the markets. Positive housing data helped the Dow gain 67 points for the day.

Tuesday was slower than Monday. Another drop in China’s Shanghai Index dulled investors’ reactions to positive housing data, which was Tuesday’s main data Housing starts reached an eight-year high at 1.21 million in July. However, concerns over the Chinese market held back the markets, and the Dow lost 33 points.

Wednesday U.S stocks traded lower, as domestic investors had a chance to react to the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s July meeting where the central bank indicated that conditions were “approaching” the desired levels for the first interest rate hike in a decade. Further volatility in the Chinese markets, plus another 4% drop in oil led the Dow to lose 162 points.

Thursday U.S Stocks were hammered as investors continued to fret over the price of oil. Crude oil dipped below $40 per barrel early in the day—a fresh 6 ½ year low. It was the worst day of 2015 for Wall Street (until the next day) as the S&P 500 index dipped into the negative for the year. The Dow dropped 358 points.

Friday proved that this was a serious pullback, as major indices around the world felt the effects. The Russell 2000 small-cap index entered correction territory, as did the FTSE 100, the main stock index in the U.K. Back in the States, the Dow dropped into correction territory, and the previously robust NASDAQ did likewise, while moving into the red for 2015. The Dow dropped 531 points for the day.

Social Security At 80: History, Present and Future

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Last week, the United States celebrated the 80th anniversary of the ratification of the Social Security Act, the law that created one of the most important government programs in our country today.

The Act was a direct response to the economic disaster of the Great Depression. Unemployment surpassed 25%, forcing most families to spend their way through any savings they may have accumulated toward retirement. As a result, President Franklin Roosevelt signed the Social Security Act as a means of giving “some measure of protection to the average citizen and to his family against the loss of a job and against poverty-ridden old age.”

Social Security was—and still is today—funded through payroll deductions and employer contributions, and was to be paid out to the primary worker when he or she reached age 65 (amendments to the law have since lowered the qualifying age to 62, and allowed for numerous beneficiaries.)

Taxes towards Social Security were first collected in 1937, with monthly benefits ultimately beginning in the year 1940.

While the system remains a critical piece of the American retirement landscape, over the years numerous changes have rendered Social Security a highly controversial issue—and today, it’s a hot-button issue for the 2016 presidential election. Here are a few changes that have occurred, and how they impact people in or near retirement today and in the future:

Duration of benefits. In the year 1940, the average life expectancy in the United States was 63 years. At the time, there were only nine million Americans age 65 or over, and only 220,000 people signed up to receive benefits.

Today, both numbers have increased drastically. The average American can expect to live to the age of 79, while approximately 60 million Americans receive some level of benefits from the Social Security program. This is due to not only a high numbers of retirees, but program expansions that offer benefits to spouses and widows.

Diminished workforce. As recently as 1960, for every person receiving Social Security benefits there were at least five people actively employed in the workforce. But numerous factors dropped that ratio to 3:1 by 2009. Today, there are approximately 168 million people paying into Social Security, compared to 60 million receiving benefits—the lowest ratio in the history of the program.

Trust fund depletion. The term ‘trust fund’ is a bit of a misnomer, as today’s workers pay for today’s retirees in the Social Security program. The concern is that if the current trend toward a smaller workforce continues, a growing number of people in retirement will lead to a depletion of assets in the program.

As it currently stands, the program is projected by the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College to be solvent through 2034. Without Congress’ intervention, at that point benefits will be compromised to some degree. Current projections hold that benefits may be slashed by as much as 25%.

The Social Security program has served American retirees and their loved ones well for the past 80 years. But it’s clear that a changing workplace and retirement backdrop will require serious changes if the program is to continuing serving future generations through their recess years.

Statistics from Social Security Administration, U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Watch: S&P Turns Negative On Worst Day Of 2015 For Stocks

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U.S. stocks were hammered on Thursday, as investors continued to fret over the dropping price of oil.

Crude oil dipped below $40 per barrel early on Thursday, a fresh 6 ½ year low for prices. The latest drop was buoyed by an unexpected surplus in the latest report on U.S. oil stockpiles.

Another painful trading session in China didn’t help matters, as the Shanghai Index dropped nearly 3.5% overnight. Continued worries over currency valuation have spread to other Asian nations, including Kazakhstan and Vietnam who both devalued their own currencies today.

Lastly, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes from July provided little clarity yesterday. The Fed indicated that conditions were “approaching” the desired level for an interest rate hike, but stopped short of further clarification. Analysts now consider the chances of a rate hike in September to be somewhere between 40%-50%—in other words, it’s anyone’s guess.

Here are the final numbers from Thursday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 16,990.69 (-358.04)

NASDAQ: 4,877.49 (-141.56)

S&P 500: 2,035.73 (-43.88)

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