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Market Watch: Stocks Level Off Ahead Of Fed Meeting

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U.S. stocks were higher Tuesday, as investors turned away from concerns over the Greek credit crisis and looked toward tomorrow’s Fed meeting minutes.

The Dow regained much of its’ 107-point loss from Monday, as European equities stabilized amidst the ongoing controversy over Greece’s bailout conditions. The Greeks have a 1.7 billion Euro payment due to the International Monetary Fund at the end of the month, and may be at serious risk of default if a resolution is not reached by that time.

The Fed meeting began today, but the real interest will come around 2 p.m. tomorrow when Chairperson Janet Yellen speaks. The consensus is still that an interest rate hike will occur in September.

Here are the final numbers from Tuesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,904.48 (+113.31)

NASDAQ: 5,055.55 (+25.58)

S&P 500: 2,096.29 (+11.86)

Market Watch: Greece Bailout Talks Collapse Again

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U.S. stocks fell sharply Monday, after the weekend saw the latest plan for solving the Greek credit crisis fall apart.

Ever since the situation took center stage in Europe months ago, a solution has appeared imminent on several occasions—only to deteriorate before a deal can be ratified. That was the story again this weekend, as European officials are laying blame at the feet of the Greek government’s failure to offer certain concessions.

Back here in the States, the Federal Open Market Committee’s two-day meeting wraps up Wednesday, with investors looking for more clues on the timing of an interest rate hike.

Large data releases such as manufacturing data at the housing market index are also expected this week.

Here are the final numbers from Monday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,791.17 (-107.67)

NASDAQ: 5,029.97 (-21.13)

S&P 500: 2,084.43 (-9.68)

Market Recap For Week of 6/8—6/12

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It was another long week on the Wall Street treadmill, as the market moved a whole bunch, but didn’t really go anywhere! As we close in on the halfway point of 2015, the Dow stands less than 0.5% higher than it did on the 1st of the year!

Monday the market continued to react to the downturn on the bond market. Remember, as bond prices fall, yields go up—so it was troubling to investors to see yields approach 2.4% on the 10-year Treasury. Continued worries over the Greek debt crisis didn’t help matters either. The Dow fell by 82 points, and turned negative for the year!

Tuesday markets struggled to find direction, as continued increases in bond yields were balance by an uptick in oil prices. Discussion continued in the Euro Zone over a potential extension of the Greek bailout. All in all, it was a quiet day on Wall Street as the Dow went down by 2 points.

Wednesday the markets bounced back early, as a rise in oil prices accompanied a drop in the strength of the dollar. (Remember, Wall Street considers an overly strong dollar to be a negative.) The Dow was up 150 points in the first few minutes of trading, bouncing back from several bad days. A tentative settlement to the Greek debt crisis kept the rally going, and the Dow finished up 236 points.

Thursday the rally continued off stronger-than-expected retail sales numbers, but slowed throughout the day when the Greek credit resolution hit yet another road block. The market was able to sustain some momentum, and the Dow finished the day up 38 points.

Friday, however, the rally fell apart from the start of trading. The Greece crisis hurt market sentiment and the Dow was down more than 100 points in the first 15 minutes of trading! Even a positive consumer confidence reading wasn’t enough to help the market, as the Dow dropped 140 points for the day.

Market Watch: Retail Sales In Focus

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U.S. stocks were higher Thursday, as investors reacted to the retail sales and jobless claims numbers.

Both reports were largely in line with expectations—retail sales for May were up 1.2 percent, as opposed to the expected 1.1 percent. Jobless claims fell within 2,000 of their expected total (279,000 actual vs. 277,000 estimated.)

Wall Street was hoping for an extension of yesterday’s rally that saw the major indices close in the black for the first time in a week. Investors’ spirits have been buoyed by an uptick in oil prices and a softening in U.S. dollar strength.

This morning, the Dow was up more than 100 points, but gains were cut in half as concerns renewed over the Greek credit crisis.

Here are the final numbers from Thursday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,039.37 (+38.97)

NASDAQ: 5,082.51 (+5.82)

S&P 500: 2,108.86 (+3.66)

Market Watch: Oil Prices Rise Again

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U.S. stocks were higher Wednesday, thanks to the slow-but-steady recovery continued in the oil markets.

The Dow broke its four-day losing streak after closing slightly down on Tuesday. Investors hoped that a bounce in oil prices will end that streak today. Futures in the oil market extended gains on Wednesday after the Energy Information Administration raised its 2015 growth forecast.

Investors found further good news in the Euro Zone, where German officials are reportedly ready to offer further financial aid to Greece, in exchange for the Greeks committing to a concrete economic reform. The agreement was contingent upon approval from major lending operations.

Here are the final numbers from Wednesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,000.40 (+236.36)

NASDAQ: 5,076.69 (+62.82) 

S&P 500: 2,105.20 (+25.05)

Market Watch: Will June’s Slow Start Continue?

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U.S. stock futures were close to even Tuesday, following another disappointing day for equities on Monday.

Monday’s session pushed the Dow Jones Average into the red for 2015, and continued what’s becoming a troubling string of losses on the market. 10 of the last 14 sessions have seen the major indices end lower than they started.

Greece continues to remain at the forefront of the market’s worries. Some Euro Zone creditors favor extending the country’s bailout program into March of next year, while others are wary of extending their good nature in light of the repeated requests the country has made for extensions.

Domestically, rising bond yields remain a concern as next week’s statements from Federal Reserve policymakers loom over Wall Street. The bond market continued to take most of the headlines on Tuesday , with equities largely unmoved for the trading day.

Here are the final numbers from Tuesday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,764.04 (-2.51)

NASDAQ: 5,013.87 (-7.76)

S&P 500: 2,080.15 (+0.87)

Market Watch: Dow Back In Negative For 2015

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U.S. stocks were lower Monday, as the leading Dow Jones index fell into the red for the year.

Investors began the week with concerns over the continuing crisis in Greece as well as volatility in the bond markets at home. 10-year Treasury notes soared to their highest levels in eight months Friday, following a better-than-expected jobs report. The report gave added fuel to concerns that an interest rate hike will be coming sooner rather than later.

Meanwhile, European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker warned Greece that time was running out to secure a deal with creditors and avoid an outright default on the debt.

European leaders also re-affirmed that current sanctions against Russia would remain in place until a more permanent plan for peace in Ukraine is established.

Here are the final numbers from Monday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,766.55 (-82.91)

NASDAQ: 5,021.63 (-46.83)

S&P 500: 2,079.28 (-13.55)

Market Recap for Week of 6/1—6/5

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The Dow took a beating in the final two days of trading this week—and went down almost 1%. For the year 2015, the Dow stands at a tiny 0.18% gain!

Monday was the first day of June, and Wall Street looked to break a May losing streak. Technically, they were successful, but it was a quiet trading day all in all. Light volume stemmed from uncertainty and investors looking forward to the jobs report due at the end of the week. The Dow went up 29 points.

Tuesday was a one-day snapshot of the story of Wall Street so far in 2015—lots of intra-day movement, with little to show for it at the end. The market was down 100 points early off fears from Greece and the Euro Zone, then reversed to show gains by early afternoon. When all was said and done, however, the Dow went down 28 points—effectively cancelling Monday’s small gain.

Wednesday markets reacted positively to European Central Bank President Mario Draghi’s declaration than quantitative easing-type programs would continue in the Euro zone. The private payrolls report—often viewed as a preview of the jobs report—met expectations as well. For the day, the Dow went up 64 points.

Thursday an ongoing rise in bond yields finally took its toll on the market. Yields on the 10-year Treasury reached 2.4% in European trading, the highest point thus far in 2015. A continued lack of a resolution to the debt crisis in Greece didn’t help matters either, as the Dow was clobbered and fell 170 points.

Friday started with a better-than-expected jobs report… so of course, in the confusing world of Wall Street, this meant the markets went down! The rationale was that the strong report would confirm a September interest rate hike. For the day, the Dow was down 56 points.

Big Banks Plead Guilty Again

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On the surface, foreign currency trading looked like an ideal post-recession activity for “Too Big To Fail” banks.

The exchanges offered the possibility of considerable returns on investment, coupled with a low risk environment. Those two factors made the exchange market the perfect business venture for an industry reeling from the mistakes of 2008.

Unfortunately, the Wall Street culture has become increasingly obsessed with manipulating any possible system for the slightest advantage—and the foreign exchange market was no exception. That’s why last month, four major banks plus UBS were fined a total of $5.4 billion by U.S. authorities after pleading guilty to rigging foreign exchange markets.

CitiGroup, JPMorgan Chase, Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland pleaded guilty to numerous crimes related to the manipulation of several world currencies. According to CNN, fines from the U.S. Justice Department totaled $2.5 billion, with the Federal Reserve and other regulatory agencies levying nearly $3 billion in additional fines against the four institutions as well as UBS Financial Services.

While some may be reassured by the fact that the institutions were caught and punished, numerous factors about this case should trouble anyone who believes in stronger regulation in the aftermath of the financial crisis:

What Took So Long?

Reports indicate that as far back as 2007—the earliest days of the financial crisis—online traders from the convicted organizations were manipulating currencies via online chat rooms that they nicknamed “The Cartel” and “The Mafia.”

“These banks participated in a brazen display of collusion and foreign exchange rate market manipulation,” said U.S. Attorney General Loretta Lynch.

Given its pure size, the global exchange rate market is highly under-regulated. Trading on this market is about five times more frequent than on all global stock exchanges combined. The fact that five massive institutions were able to commit such ‘brazen’ acts without detection for nearly a decade is alarming.

What Penalties Did They Pay?

$5.4 billion surely isn’t chump change, but when spread across four huge institutions plus UBS, the penalty comes out to a little over $1 billion per guilty organization. A sizable number, for sure—until you consider that last year alone, foreign exchange revenue totaled in excess of $1 billion on average at the industry’s largest banks. And even that figure is a step down from the all-time high in 2008, when revenue reached an astounding $21.7 billion at 10 of the world’s largest banks.

Behind the scenes, the banks have already bargained with the Securities and Exchange Commission to provide exemptions that will allow them to continue conducting business as usual. Worse still, as The Telegraph reports, this scandal is just the tip of the iceberg, as U.S. and European authorities continue to investigate further wrongdoing at other prominent institutions.

Thus far, no indictments have been filed against any officers or employees of these major institutions. It took a special order from one New York legislator to force Barclays to dismiss eight employees with varying levels of involvement in the scandal.

A Culture Problem

Finally, maybe the most troubling factor in this entire incident is the overwhelming culture of deceit and manipulation that permeates Wall Street. As previously mentioned, currency exchanges appeared to be a hand-picked investment opportunity for a more conservative banking industry following the recession. Yet before the ink was even dry on bailout deals, insiders were finding ways to manipulate and tilt the markets in their favor.

Perhaps the prevailing attitude on Wall Street was best summarized in a chat room message sent by one Barclays trader, later found by prosecutors:

“If you ain’t cheating, you ain’t trying.”

Market Watch: Stocks Clobbered Amidst Rising Bond Yields

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U.S. stock futures were lower Thursday, as investors turned a wary eye towards rising 10-year Treasury yields.

Yields move in the opposite direction of the bond’s price, so it was alarming when the European trade market saw bonds exceed 2.4 percent—the highest mark in 2015. The volatility seen in the bond market of late—swings in excess of 3% per day—once again serve as a harsh reminder than the bond market can be as risky as securities.

European markets were also lower on Thursday, as Greece’s continued struggles to find answers to their debt woes take their toll.

Tomorrow, of course, is the expected highlight of the week on Wall Street—May’s job report.

Here are the final numbers from Thursday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,905.58 (-170.69)

NASDAQ: 5,059.12 (-40.11)

S&P 500: 2,095.84 (-18.23) 

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