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Market Recap: Stocks Lose 2015 Gains

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Stock Market Recap for 3/9-3/13

Again, volatility was the name of the game on Wall Street this week. The market primarily followed the value of the U.S. dollar and the price of oil, both of which experienced wild swings in both directions. By the end of the week, all 2015 gains on the Dow and S&P 500 had been wiped out, as both indices turned slightly negative for the year!

Monday stocks went up, recovering from the previous Friday’s 280-point drop. Concerns lingered over an interest rate hike, but investors were encouraged by the commencement of Europe’s bond-buying “quantitative easing” program. For the day, the Dow went up 138 points.

Tuesday the volatility continued as market took a sharp downturn along with oil prices. U.S. crude fell under $50 dollars per barrel on the same morning that Goldman Sachs released a statement predicting a fall to $40 dollars a barrel in the near future. Prices struggled throughout the day, falling 3.5% in total. All market gains for 2015 on the Dow and S&P were wiped out on this day, as the Dow closed down 332 points for the day.

Wednesday markets attempted to rally, but were stymied by the continued growing strength of the dollar. Remember, in the “up-is-down, left-is-right” world of Wall Street, a strong dollar is a BAD thing! The Euro slid to $1.05 against the dollar—its lowest level in 12 years! All in all, it was a quiet day for stocks as the Dow went down 27 points.

Thursday markets reacted to lower jobless claims numbers, which were down about 10% from last week. In addition, the Euro stabilized against the dollar, lowering fears in that area. It was a bounce back day for stocks as the Dow gained 259 points.

Friday, however, the dollar surged again while crude oil prices resumed their fall. The Euro fell to below $1.05 against the dollar, while crude oil closed around $45 a barrel. Consumer sentiment dropped four points for the months as well. It spelled bad news for the markets, as the Dow closed 145 points on the day.

Market Watch: Dollar Concerns Pushing Stocks

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U.S. stocks were higher on Thursday, as the market attempted to recover from a rough stretch that has wiped out all 2015 gains in the major indexes.

In the past four days, the Dow shed 500 points, while the S&P 500 tumbled almost 4% from its all-time high just 10 days ago.

Investors continue to watch the ongoing growth of the U.S. dollar. The dollar index hit a 12-year high on Thursday, while the Euro’s downturn continued. It’s possible that markets worldwide are beginning to see the negative consequences of quantitative easing programs.

On the data side, retail sales came in at -0.6% for February. The number disappointed experts, who’d predicted a slight increase. Jobless claims came in at 289,000, about 10% less than last week’s 320,000.

As of 3:30 p.m., here are the numbers from Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,895.28 (+259.89)

NASDAQ: 4,893.29 (+43.35)

S&P 500: 2,065.95 (+25.71) 

Market Watch: New Drop In Oil Hurts Stocks

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Stocks were sharply lower on Tuesday, as another dip in oil prices concerned investors.

Brent crude prices fell almost 4 percent in early trading Tuesday, while U.S. crude prices dropped below $50 per barrel yet again with a drop of 3.4%. Adding to concerns was the fact that the price change came less than a day after Goldman Sachs announced projections that showed U.S. crude dropping to $40 a barrel in the near future.

Moreover, the strength of the dollar has traders concerned, as the Euro fell below $1.08 against the U.S. dollar–the lowest since 2004.

Tuesday restarts the flow of data, including the wholesale inventories figures for January. This figure is expected to fall for the first time since May of 2014.

Monday was something of a bounce-back day for Wall Street, as the markets recovered about half their losses from Friday’s bloodbath. The Friday drop was attributed to renewed fears of an interest rate hike.

Here are the final numbers from Wall Street on Tuesday:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 17,662.94 (-332.78)

NASDAQ: 4,859.80 (-82.64)

S&P 500: 2,044.18 (-35.25)

Unhappy Anniversary: 6 Years From The Bottom

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Six years ago, Wall Street was going through a dark time.

The 2008 Great Recession cut the value of the stock market by more than half, and it was on this date—March 9, 2009—that the S&P 500 bottomed out at 676.53.

Since that day, it’s been the market’s time to shine. The S&P 500 grew by 213% to its all-time high of 2,117.39 (achieved one week ago today, March 2). The six-year bull market run has caused many investors to re-invest in the market these past several months, in hopes that they can continue to ride the wave of momentum.

But how long until it all comes crashing down?

It’s hard to argue that the Federal Reserve’s ‘loose-money’ policy of quantitative easing played a considerable role in the market’s upswing. In fact, when quantitative easing ended at the conclusion of October, the S&P 500 stood at 2,018.21. Today, it opened at 2,071.26.

Crunch the numbers—that’s a gain of only 2.6% in the 4+ months since the end of quantitative easing. You can’t quite say the program’s cessation ended the bull market, but it has certainly taken some wind out of its sails.

What’s more, recent economic data—most notably employment figures—have led to many experts calling for an interest rate hike around the beginning of June. The release of data that led to this theory caused the Dow to shed 278 points on Friday. What will happen if the rate hike is officially announced?

With the bull market entering its seventh year, investors can’t help but look at historical bull markets and their durations. CNBC reported that of the 12 bull markets since the end of World War II—that’s a span of about 70 years—this current streak is the fourth-longest at 72 months.

So are there any signs of an impending end to the bull market? Most bull markets end as a result of a recession, or the threat of a recession. Some people are pointing to the slump in fourth-quarter earnings as a sign of trouble.

But maybe the biggest factor is the continued strengthening of the U.S. dollar. The dollar is at its highest level against the Euro in 12 years, and figures to grow even stronger as Europe embarks upon quantitative easing. This could drive the prices of U.S. goods higher in overseas markets, translating to lower sales figures for corporations.

As a rule of finance, all bull markets must end. When will the current winning streak grind to a halt? That’s anybody’s guess—but if history is any indication, investors are running out of time.

Market Watch: Jobs Report Creates Chaos

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U.S. stocks moved forward to open the week on Monday, as investor sentiment rebounded from over the better-than-expected jobs report from Friday. Many believed the report will play a considerable role in leading to an interest rate hike.

An increasing number of experts called for a June rates hike following the report, which saw 295,000 new jobs created in February. This was far better than the expected 240,000, and also outpaced January’s figure of 257,000.

In the often-confusing culture of Wall Street, this report—hailed as good news everywhere else—led to fear and selling, as the Dow dropped 278 points on Friday in the wake of the report.

Elsewhere this week, it’ll be relatively quiet on the data side. Perhaps the big news of the week comes today across the Atlantic, where the European Central Bank will launch its bond buying program—expected to last the rest of this year and well into 2016.

As of 2 p.m. Monday, here are the starting numbers from Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,015.56 (+158.78)

NASDAQ: 4,942.96 (+15.59)

S&P 500: 2,081.10 (+9.84)

Market Watch: Jobs Report in Focus

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Stocks prices stayed relatively flat Thursday, as investors prepared for tomorrow’s jobs report—the data highlight of the week and often, the information that sets the tone for the month.

Yesterday, stocks suffered a second consecutive losing day after a payrolls report—often seen as a precursor to the jobs report—showed only 212,000 new jobs created in February. Not only was this figure lower than expected, it was the lowest number overall since August of last year.

Even a strong day for oil prices—U.S. crude reached the $50 per barrel marker—could save the Dow and S&P from posting losses for the second consecutive session, after each index set an all-time high on Monday.

Perhaps the highlight of the Thursday session was an announcement from the European Central Bank. The ECB confirmed that the region’s bond-buying program would commence this coming Monday. ECB President Mario Draghi estimated the program would last approximately 18 months.

As of 2 p.m., here are Thursday’s numbers on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,116.18 (+19.28)

NASDAQ: 4,977.15 (+10.01)

S&P 500: 2,099.67 (+1.14)

Market Watch: Payrolls Report Hurts Stocks

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U.S. stocks were lower in trading Wednesday, as a busy day for data took shape for investors.

This morning, the ADP private payrolls report showed a gain of 212,000 jobs in February. Not only did this number fail to meet expectations, it was the lowest figure in six months. This report is viewed as a precursor to Friday’s labor market report. Experts had predicted a number around 215,000-220,000 jobs created in February—still well below the 257,000 jobs created in January.

Later in the day, investors considered ISM non-manufacturing data, which came in around expectations, and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book on the economy. The Beige Book showed mixed reports from separate regions of the country.

Overseas, European investors continue to await word from a European Central Bank policy meeting. Many expect more details will be forthcoming on the launch of the Euro zone bond-buying program.

As of 3:45 p.m., these are the numbers from Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,096.90 (-106.47)

NASDAQ: 4,967.14 (-12.76)

S&P 500: 2,098.53 (-9.25)  

Market Watch: Earnings, Oil Prices In Focus

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U.S. stock futures fell lower Tuesday, one day after the Dow and S&P 500 set new all-time highs and the NASDAQ reached 5,000 for the first time in almost 15 years.

But this morning, the outlook was pessimistic following disappointing earnings figures from major retailers like Dick’s Sporting Goods and Best Buy.

Later in the day, disappointing auto sales figures added to the pile of data released this week. Yesterday’s personal spending results showed an increase of 0.3 percent, and were a big part of the reason for the record close.

Investors also eyed oil prices on Tuesday, after a sharp drop on Monday. Brent crude posted its biggest drop in a month on Monday, but recovered on Tuesday to trade around $60.76. U.S. crude traded at roughly $50.31.

As of 3:45 p.m., these are the Tuesday numbers on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,203.37 (-85.26) 

NASDAQ: 4,979.90 (-28.19)

S&P 500: 2,107.78  (-9.61)

Obama Calls Out Wall Street

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Since the end of the financial crisis, consumer advocates have pushed for fiduciary duty on Wall Street—an obligation for brokers and financial advisors to act in the best interest of clients at all times. Last week, President Obama added his voice to the cause.

Speaking to a gathering at AARP headquarters in Washington, D.C., the President denounced the high-fee, commission-centric investments touted by many advisors and pushed for stronger regulations in the financial advisory field.

“After a lifetime of hard work, you should be able to retire with a sense of security and dignity,” said President Obama. “And that’s gotten tougher.”

“We’ve got to make sure that Americans who are doing the responsible thing by preparing for retirement are getting a fair share of the returns on those savings.”

Historically, investors’ biggest obstacle to retaining their fair share has been the conflicts of interest that pollute the advice they receive from financial advisors in the securities industry. “If you’re saving for retirement—if you’re sacrificing that new car, or that vacation to build a nest egg—you should have the peace of mind of knowing that the advice you’re getting for investing those dollars is sound,” said President Obama.

The challenge to achieving this is the lack of ground rules that govern financial advisors. Specifically, professionals in almost every industry that require licensure—law, medicine, insurance—are held to a fiduciary duty, defined as an obligation to act solely in the best interests of clients at all times, with no regards for one’s personal or professional gain.

By contrast, securities advisors are held merely to a suitability standard, which is as uncertain as it sounds. They are required only to ensure that investments are suitable for the respective clients.

“That’s hurting millions of middle-class families,” said President Obama. “There are advisors who receive back-door payments for steering people into bad retirement investments that have high fees and low returns. These inducements incentivize the broker to make recommendations that generate the best returns for [the advisor], but not necessarily the best returns for [the investor].”

President Obama cited statistics indicating that conflicts of interest in retirement advice result in annual losses of 1% per individual. “I know 1% may not sound like a lot,” admitted the President, “but it adds up. It can cut your savings by more than 25% over 35 years!”

All told, the costs add up to $17 billion per year in lost retirement savings. Outdated regulation, legal loopholes and ‘the fine print’ have added up to create a confusing landscape for people working to save for retirement. President Obama says it’s time to place the responsibility for clarifying that confusion directly on the financial industry.

‘Financial advisors shouldn’t be able to take advantage of their clients,” summarized President Obama. “The system makes it harder for those financial advisors who are trying to do the right thing.”

President Obama called on the Department of Labor to update the rules and regulations governing financial advisors to demand that these professionals put the best interests of their clients ahead of their own personal gain—like most other licensed professionals.

“You can’t have a conflict of interest,” President Obama concluded. “If your business model rests on bilking hard-working Americans out of their retirement money—then you shouldn’t be in business.”

Market Watch: Wall Street Eyes Worldwide Data

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U.S. stocks moved higher on Monday, as investors considered numerous data points both at home and overseas.

Manufacturing, construction and personal income numbers were encouraging to investors. Personal income levels jumped 0.3 percent in January, while the manufacturing sector enjoyed its best month since October.

Asian markets were up slightly after the People’s Bank of China slashed interest rates yet again in response to deteriorating economic conditions.

In the Euro Zone, investors cheered the slowing rates of deflation and unemployment, but were discouraged yet again by falling oil prices. Crude oil broke its’ seven-month streak of declining prices in February, but stayed relatively stable on Monday.

Here are the final numbers from Monday on Wall Street:

Dow Jones Industrial Average: 18,288.63 (+155.93)

NASDAQ: 5,008.10 (+44.57)

S&P 500: 2,117.39 (+12.89)

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